民主黨敗選驗屍報告
今天閒來無事,不知為什麼,門禁又特別寬鬆,乘機在網絡世界漫步,看到許多美國選舉的驗屍報告,大多數了無新意,不是怪川普,就是怪選民。老半天後,看到下面這一段,嚇了一跳,還以為是台灣文章的英譯本:總統先生,恕我直言,但你為工人做的,他們許多並不領情。他们不觉得日子有改善。幾十年来,實質工资没有上涨;事实上,許多更是不升反降。购买力降低了,健保費用增加了,他们不相信退休時還會有养老金。這裡的工業有周期性,工人都驚恐不安,深怕噩耗隨時傳來。更有那些貿易协议,他们认为那些协议把工作轉移到國外,威脅他們現有的工作。更有甚者,他們擔心國家安全,害怕工廠、車間、戲院受威脅。凡此種種,都叫工人們惶恐不可終日。細看之下,原來是密西根州一位眾議員對歐巴馬的“進言”。
回覆 客青島: 今天閒來無事,不知為什麼,門禁又...
這一段的原文:Mr. President, with all due respect, many of these workers don’t translate what you have done to them. They don’t feel better off. Their real wages have not risen in decades, and in fact for many it has dropped. They have less purchasing power; their health insurance costs more; they don’t trust their pensions to be there; and because we are a cyclical industry, they are frightened that something bad could happen at any time. Add to that, trade deals that they view as shipping jobs overseas and threatening the ones they have here. Top it off with fear about national security and potential threats at workplaces or movie theaters and you have workers who are scared, worried and concerned in their hearts and souls.--- By Debbie Dingell, a Democrat, represents Michigan’s 12th Congressional District in the House.
回覆 Safayang:沒錯,怎麼輸的,要先反省自己。...
就像我自己,也是選後被殺了一大波,該自我反省一下。我還沒出場,純粹只是原本就預計連上漲也不打算出場(所以不要拿我當參考,我的想法比較另類),我很幸運地暫時還用不到場內的資金。
川普當選後會很亂是選前一絲絲的直覺,最多的想法是會漲,可惜原來還有更高的高人知道不只川普會上,大家更會衝去買黃金,所以玩一個利多出盡的老劇本。選前原本想壓更多,但是脫歐受過教訓,自知看對不一定抓得住時間點,加上選前一波下殺的震撼教育,所以一直看到現在都還是只看不出手(手僵硬到被殺了好幾波也不想動了,腦袋、心都一起僵硬了)。
這波變化金友們也算都壓對邊了,可惜市場上有太多力量在角力了,時間點和波動方向難以掌握,後續的下殺更讓人措手不及,資金槓桿大一點的直接出局,簡直就是懲罰支持川普的人;正確一點來說是對拿川普投機的人開刀。市場一直都是變幻莫測,我也再次受到教育(教訓)。
恭喜有跟隨到市場脈動的人,對於已經出場或是還在堅持的戰友們,如果真的一兩年內用不到錢,就不要傷心了,近期會殺多低沒人知道,但即使雞蛋也有一定的價值。每天美股開盤都是一陣揪心、否認、憤怒,最後也只能接受,我們必須尊重市場,某方面看就像選民得尊重結果一樣,市場也會教訓自以為能操控一切的人,不管他甚至是某大基金還是數大央行一起,歷史上都一樣。
飆風不中朝,暴雨不中日,投資有風險,個人須審慎,此為反省安慰文,非投資建議。
回覆 客青島: 今天閒來無事,不知為什麼,門禁又...
2016 Election Post-MortemConclusionshttps://www.reddit.com/r/captainmeta4/comments/5c8e7f/2016_election_postmortem/If the Democrat party wants to put up viable campaigns in 2018 and 2020, it needs to do some serious soul-searching. First, it needs to listen to the political atmosphere. If this wasn't such a "pro-outsider" year, Clinton could have been a decent running choice. But it wasn't, and the DNC ran Clinton anyways. Second, Democrats and the media need to deal with the reality that people who disagree with them (mainly Republicans) are not automatically narrow-minded bigots. Third, they need to remember that nothing in politics is guaranteed. Finally, they need to root out all traces of corruption and scandal, and get rid of the Clinton stench.2018年眾院改選,2020大選,民主黨想要有效競選,必得認真自我反省。首先,党必須觀察民意,傾聽民聲。如果今年不是這樣的"亲圈外人",克林顿何嘗不是一個差強人意的候選人。可今年不屬於“圈內人”,但民主黨黨部還硬是欽點了克林頓。第二,民主党人和媒体需要面对现实,与他们意見不同的(大部份是共和党人),不能信手打為心胸狹窄的頑固盲從者。第三,他们需要记住,在政治上没什么保证,圈內人不能予取予求。最后,他们需要根除腐败和弊案,更要清除克林顿家族的恶臭。
回覆 客青島: 今天閒來無事,不知為什麼,門禁又...
It is totally over. If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug. https://t.co/3eefhWzI3yWang ate a cricket yesterday.