黃金基金
回覆 浪雲小乞丐：~一一一恨鐵不成金阿一一一最噁心的友情你...
我星期三就計畫星期四要漲 (一陰一陽)，所以本就預計星期五或一購買 (你那篇不要怕，我有預告)
而且我也覺得低點一定會在7/25-7/26 ，在論壇就說過 7/27 不管升不升息，都一定漲
因為連黃金期約到期都沒把價格殺下來... ，主力作多很堅定 .
算了gdx 支撐，約在跳空缺口處27.6-27.8 設定價格，星期五沒買到
星期一突然下殺，買到27.7，後來跌到27.5 心裡想，慘了，剛買就套
最後收27.74 還是27.75 我忘了，哈哈哈 接下來就連漲兩天，約 8%
你真是我的貴人阿，歸休大大也是，我不僅美股沒賣，還加買了生技類股的基金，這幾天真的很強
黃金越過 1336 空頭暫時化解危機，1346-1347 壓力不小，須要時間慢慢化解，所以一定有漲跌
期待越過 1350，就可挑戰新高..... 不然不排除再測低點
重點是 : 漲了要記得賣，下一次的修正，應該不小，才能啟動長多
期待美股創新高，黃金創新高.... 獲利了結... 休息2-3個月
回覆 龜：敢問奮姊"生技醫療基金&quo...
生技基金 ，尚未到去年高點 ，但已創今年高點 ，起浮不會很大 ，是屬於慢慢漲 （每年漲約12%） ，或慢慢跌 ，起浮較大的是IBB , NBI , XLV 。你會發現 IBB 已突破 280 的頸線 ，形成W底 ，而且Abiomed stock （我的最愛）已經領先表態了 ！ 唯一的問題是 ，美股處於一種恐怖高點 ，每天看回不回 ，但量沒出來 ，所以很可能再繼續創新高 ，但我不建議現在進入 ，因為美股修正 ，它也一定會修正很快 ，但我認為美股不會垮, 它只會修正 ，然後繼續創新高 （像今年初），它會漲到另人瞠目結舌 ！？！ 我認為啦 ！ 所以美股有修正 ，如果 ibb沒破支撐 ，就可以開始佈局 ！或者那時可以以定期定額的方式 （我之前也是每月扣2萬 ，已扣6-7 年，我從來都不理它 ，利潤也不錯 ）
回覆 龜：奮姊可否提供您買的生技基金名稱也讓我追蹤...
其實我也不知啥可以長期，啥不能長期，只能說，我很幸運在很低時進入吧 (2009)
很多人不看好生技醫療基金是因為它漲高了，本夢比太高，但我還是覺得，等到一個低點進入，絕對不
會套太久 (因此定期定額還是較好，高也買，低也買)，股票本來就是個夢，apple 業績好，可是長期
走勢普普通通，原因大家都知道，手機本就是一個一不小心就被淘汰的產業，倒不如買 Amazon
如果看過amazon 股票走勢的人，一定會覺得，這種股票買一檔就好，放個4，5年，不用每天看盤，不
管它短期的漲跌，時間到了就賣，多好阿! 很可惜我沒買!!!!!!! 我每年都在等它大回檔，再進入... 它沒
有一次進入我設定的價格，我賭氣不買，它每年漲給我看... .....咬牙切齒!
回覆 金正夯：這是三星期前的IBB，當時在272，現在...
GDX 是我19號看完文章擷圖，第二張約是3個星期前，兩張圖的目的是:
國外炒金的風氣比台灣興盛，因此有很多網站，文章(短中長期都有)，大師 (成功預言2008多與 2012空)
都有很多很棒的分析，所以每天我都會先瀏覽各個網站，看看有興趣的文章(股票，黃金，趨勢，
FED...)，看看大師有沒有新文章，最後才看技術分析，讓自己做任何動作，有所依靠
以後我若看到有趣的文章或圖表，會po 上來，有疑慮的可以用google 翻譯
暫時介紹六個網站
1. http://www.gold-eagle.com
2. http://www.goldseek.com
3. http://www.goldsqeeze.com
4. http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/experts/larry-edelson
5. investinghaven.com (這個什麼主題都有)
6. m.investing.com/analysis/commodities
7. http://www.kitco.com/commentaries/
黃金大師有 : Larry Edelson / AG Thorson / Avi Gilburt / Gary Savage / Jordan Roy-Byrne
回覆 菜菜菜鳥：感謝夯大的分享^_^...
* "生技醫療" 只要美股不垮，應該確認是領頭羊，昨天還是漲，今晚預計再漲。
* 分享一篇我喜歡的文章
Still Waiting for a Precious Metals "Correction"? Get Off the Dime and Buy Some Silver Ones...
Over time, charts for a bull market tend to print higher highs and higher lows on the way to the primary top. Two steps forward, one step back, creating a visual stair-step effect.
隨著時間的推移，對於牛市的走勢圖，往往高點更高而低點也更高。進兩步，退一步，營造出視覺階梯效應。
So far, waiting hasn't been a good strategy. Yes, there were a couple of times in April, and a month later in late May where you might have been able to buy and save some money. But things can get in the way of that plan. And for a number of people I've talked to, things apparently did.
到目前為止，等待並不是一個很好的策略。是的，有在四月有幾次，並於5月下旬在一個月前後，你可能可以節省一些錢買到低點。但常常會有事情來阻礙你。就我和一些人聊天，事情顯然是如此。
The first obstacle is Timing: Away from your computer, on a trip, sick, or depressed? Whoops, you missed the "correction."
第一個障礙是時間點：剛好沒有電腦在身邊，去旅行，生病，或情緒低落？哎呦，你錯過了“校正”。
Then there's a matter of the "experts" and the "gurus." As a veteran of these markets since the 1970's, I can tell you unequivocally that the way the metals and miners have surged this year, and the amount of time it took them to do it, is nothing short of amazing. In fact, "amazing" could be the operative word we keep using as the rest of this year... and next year unfolds. Fortunately for new buyers and current stackers, prices have not staged a runaway move and availability is good... so far.
此外，“專家”和“大師”的問題。做為一個從1970年就待在這些市場的老手，我可以明確地告訴你，今年的貴金屬和礦業股飆漲的方式，以及他們所需的時間，是令人驚嘆的。事實上，“驚艷”可能是最關鍵的詞彙，我們將在今年下半年與明年繼續使用這個詞彙。幸運的是，對新的買家和目前的囤積者，價格並沒有上演失控的舉動而且目前的價格依然還不錯。
But to hear the "experts" tell it, and I read just about everything they have to say – the market has become too "overbought," the charts are showing "double tops," "historically high COTs," etc.
但聽聽“專家”說的話，我閱讀過他們的文章，他們常說 - 市場已經到達“超買”的地步，或者圖表呈現“雙頂”，“歷史高位COTS”等。
They've had their subscribers in and out, or are still out, waiting for that "correction."
這些專家有很多”期刊訂戶”，但他們依然在外圍等待修正
Yes, we may soon see the kind of "pullback" the Cassandras have been predicting. How long it will last, how deep it will go, I cannot say.
是的，我們可能很快就會看到唱衰者一直在預測的那種“回調”的。但它會持續多久，它會有多深，我不好說。
But I do know that for most of the procrastinators, it won't go low enough or last long enough for them to actually get off the dime and do something.
但我知道，對於大多數的拖延者的，價錢往往不夠低，低檔時間也不夠長，可以讓他們真正的採取行動去購買
Stuart Thomson of Graceland Updates likes to say that "If you're trading through a microscope, your profits will be... microscopic." Which reminds me of what so many of the gurus have been saying this year. They're all "long-term bullish, but short-term bearish." This kind of thinking is going to leave a lot of people who are waiting to own precious metals... long-term empty-handed!
司徒湯姆森喜歡說，“如果你通過顯微鏡進行交易，你的利潤會...微觀的。” 這讓我想起那麼多的大師今年已經說。他們都是“長期看好，但短期看跌。” 這種想法會導致很多想買貴金屬的人最後還是空手
Truth be told, the biggest impediment to taking action, is human nature. Let's say you're patient and declare, "When silver hits 'x'$, I'll 'back up the truck." Maybe at some point over weeks and months the price declines to your "buy point."
說實話，採取行動的最大障礙，是人性。比方說，你很有耐心，你說，“當銀來到”X“$，我會上車。” 也許在某些時候，幾週和幾個月的價格真的下降到你的“買點”。
All of a sudden, everything you read is negative. "Demand is down in China." "Poor harvests in India mean less silver will be imported." "The Federal Reserve says it's going to raise interest rates." "The Maestro, Alan Greenspan, is now bearish on gold." Yada, yada. You start thinking, "Maybe I should wait until it drops even more..." But, after a while, the price starts moving back up, and you're still waiting.
但所突然之間，你看的的訊息，一切都為是對黃金不利的。例如 “在中國需求下降。” “在印度歉收意味著銀的進口將減少”。“美聯儲說，它會提高利率。” 又或者， “大師，艾倫·格林斯潘，現在看黃金利空。” 諸如此類。你開始思考，“也許我應該等到它降到更低......”可是，過了一段時間，價格又漲回來了，而你還在等待。
Eventually you find yourself still waiting. Either you miss the entire bull market – as the Wall Street pros did from 2000-2011, telling their clients that "gold is too risky" for 11 consecutive years, during which the price rose over 600%! Or, at much higher levels you panic and jump in with both feet – just before a big "correction."
最終你會發現自己仍在等待。要麼你錯過了整個牛市 - 如同許多華爾街專業人士，從2000年至2011年那樣，連續11年，告訴他們的客戶說：“黃金太冒險”，但在此期間，價格上漲超過600％！又或者，終於黃金漲到高點，你恐慌了，然後跳進市場，卻剛好碰到大“校正”。
"The problem with a lot of people is that they have an amateur's perspective – which means they think that if they didn't get in at the low, they've missed the move. Actually the best traders and the wealthiest people on the planet just take out the middle....They (will) get in and make massive amounts of money from the market as silver goes up to a hundred. They know what they're doing; they're not trading in hindsight." (Or staying out, because they "missed the bottom.")
“有很多人的問題是，他們用業餘者的角度來看問題--這意味著他們認為，如果他們沒有在低點進場，他們就錯過了賺錢的機會。其實這世界上最厲害的交易者和最富有的人只會賺”中段” ，他們進場，並且在銀價上漲到100時賺很多錢。他們知道自己在幹什麼，他們不會因為自己錯過底部，就後知後覺或在外面觀望。”
There Is Still Good News for You
First, physical metals have not risen nearly as much, proportionately, as have the underlying mining stocks. Indeed the miners are simply playing catch up, rising faster than gold and silver – as they should, because owning them comes with more risk.Second, the general public still has not placed precious metals on their "must have" list. How many of your neighbors, friends, and family members hold any? I'm willing to bet the answer is very few – or none!
If this overview makes sense to you, then get off the dime and exchange those base metal slugs in your pocket for real money that has the "ring" of truth”
還有好消息
首先，實體貴金屬再比例上，漲的還沒有礦業股多。事實上，金礦股正在狂漲，比上漲黃金和白銀更快 - 因因為他們擁有帶有更多的風險。
其次，廣大市民仍然沒有把貴金屬放置在他們的“必須購買的”名單上。你的鄰居，朋友和家人有多少人持有貴金屬？我敢打賭，答案是很少 - 或根本沒有！
如果這個概述對你有意義，花一點錢，並在你的口袋裡的硬幣，換成真正有意義的錢 (貴金屬)。
